trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +39.6% | +26.3% | 57% | 57% | +41.2% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +33.8% | +21.1% | 57% | 57% | +21.9% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +29.7% | +17.4% | 50% | 50% | +12.2% |
| all | 33 | +2.7% | -7.1% | 39% | 39% | +2.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.1% | 39% | +2.0% |
| 10% | -16.0% | 33% | -7.7% |
| 15% | -24.1% | 33% | -16.7% |
| 20% | -31.5% | 30% | -24.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 6¢ | $25 | $35 | +$10 (+41%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | $15 | $21 | +$6 (+39%) |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia? | Yes | 17¢ | 4¢ | $35 | $7 | −$28 (-79%) |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $54 | +$49 | +91% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $203 | +$93 | +46% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $38 | −$37 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $65 | −$64 | -98% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $288 | +$284 | +99% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$4 | -8% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $36 | +$90 | +250% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $142 | −$103 | -72% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $150 | +$228 | +151% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 12 | $192 | −$8 | -4% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $24 | +$28 | +114% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $231 | +$298 | +129% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $148 | +$24 | +16% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $352 | −$268 | -76% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $95 | −$27 | -28% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $389 | +$801 | +206% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 01 | $212 | −$40 | -19% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 26 | $390 | −$142 | -36% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 16 | $21 | −$21 | -99% |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 16 | $723 | −$334 | -46% |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Apr 16 | $35 | +$66 | +188% |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Apr 03 | $612 | +$102 | +17% |
| Hawks vs. Rockets | Mar 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 16 | $1,050 | +$797 | +76% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 07 | $4 | $0 | -3% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 06 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 20 | $239 | −$212 | -89% |
| Spurs vs. Rockets | Jan 20 | $537 | −$537 | -100% |
| Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday? | Oct 07 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Thunder | Jun 23 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 23 | $111 | +$56 | +50% |
| Pacers vs. Thunder | Jun 14 | $129 | −$129 | -100% |
| Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference? | Oct 23 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |