Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:27:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe5a6…d556
crypto · 400 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$4,870 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,870 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,870
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses190 / 210
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)400 / 400
History coverage62d
Avg bet$104
Trades / day30.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 400 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$609
7 days−$609
14 days−$823
30 days−$1,830
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) Spurs 40¢ 0¢ $164 $0 −$164 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$131 +249%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$36 +685%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $309 −$309 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $129 −$125 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $403 +$137 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $207 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$75 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $153 +$145 +94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $121 −$118 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $75 +$25 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET May 31 $71 −$69 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $151 −$148 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 30 $67 +$101 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 30 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 30 $45 −$43 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 30 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 30 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 30 $129 +$110 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 30 $36 −$35 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET May 21 $9 +$27 +280%
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) May 21 $164 −$164 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET May 21 $129 −$125 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET May 21 $25 +$3 +12%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET May 21 $25 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET May 21 $5 −$5 -94%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET May 21 $66 −$65 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET May 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET May 21 $138 +$5 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 21 $32 +$241 +757%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET May 21 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 21 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET May 20 $4 −$4 -94%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 20 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET May 20 $96 −$92 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 20 $43 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 20 $4 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 20 $105 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 20 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET May 20 $129 −$72 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 20 $103 −$100 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET May 20 $38 −$31 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET May 20 $33 +$57 +171%
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-8.5) May 20 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET May 20 $34 −$34 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$4,051
sports 2% −$171
other 2% −$648
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $183 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $106 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $103 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $103 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $103 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $104 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $51 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $51 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $139 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $28 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $118 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $40 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $42 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $27 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-22.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +6.8% -3.3% 38% 38% -40.1%
≤30d 94 -30.5% -37.2% 30% 26% -41.6%
≤90d 400 -14.7% -22.9% 48% 38% -20.1%
all 400 -14.7% -22.9% 48% 38% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.9% 38% -20.1%
10% ← realistic here -30.2% 32% -27.7%
15% -37.0% 26% -34.7%
20% -43.2% 22% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2095 history records