Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:23:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe5a9…5d3c
crypto · 798 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$140 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$130 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$130
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses395 / 397
Open positions6
Markets (closed)792 / 798
History coverage39d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day27.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 792 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33
7 days+$33
14 days−$111
30 days−$104
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 50¢ 60¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+21%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 65¢ 69¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 61¢ 64¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+82%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +54%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$125
weather 17% −$14
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 308 -2.3% -11.6% 60% 60% -7.6%
≤30d 596 +0.0% -9.5% 59% 58% -11.8%
≤90d 792 -7.1% -15.9% 50% 48% -12.5%
all 792 -7.1% -15.9% 50% 48% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 48% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 46% -20.9%
15% -31.3% 42% -28.5%
20% -38.1% 40% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.65 · official $16.82 (match) · 1489 history records