Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:25:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe5b1…30b2
weather · 1386 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$609 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$654 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,171
Realized+$654
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses851 / 380
Est. fees paid−$62
Open positions140
Markets (closed)1231 / 1386
History coverage23d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day110.1
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 140 History 1231 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$297
7 days−$178
14 days+$151
30 days+$654
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $250 $225 −$25 (-10%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $120 $195 +$75 (+62%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $110 $135 +$25 (+23%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $130 $118 −$13 (-10%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $114 $96 −$18 (-15%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $97 $81 −$16 (-17%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 13? No 83¢ 100¢ $30 $36 +$6 (+21%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14? No 77¢ 96¢ $26 $33 +$7 (+25%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 14? No 72¢ 75¢ $31 $32 +$1 (+5%)
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 94¢ 97¢ $27 $27 +$1 (+3%)
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30? No 95¢ 99¢ $23 $24 +$1 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 9? No 92¢ 100¢ $21 $23 +$2 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14? No 61¢ 58¢ $23 $22 −$1 (-5%)
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? Yes 73¢ 84¢ $19 $22 +$3 (+15%)
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? No 89¢ 94¢ $20 $22 +$1 (+6%)
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 No 82¢ 88¢ $20 $22 +$1 (+7%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30? No 92¢ 97¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+5%)
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No 87¢ 96¢ $17 $19 +$2 (+10%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 13? No 70¢ 100¢ $13 $19 +$6 (+42%)
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30? No 93¢ 94¢ $19 $19 +$0 (+2%)
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting? No 93¢ 99¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 14? No 71¢ 74¢ $18 $19 +$1 (+5%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30? No 87¢ 85¢ $19 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30? No 93¢ 92¢ $19 $18 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14? No 69¢ 65¢ $19 $18 −$1 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 21? Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs SoloTeam (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Gro Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen end in a draw? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 18? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 17? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22? Jun 13 $47 −$52 -111%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 22? Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Jamshedpur FC vs. Odisha FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Andrea Pellegrin Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Red Star FC vs. Montpellier HSC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on Ma Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Punjab FC vs. Mumbai City FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on May 22? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 11? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 12? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 21? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Al Taawoun Saudi Club leading at halftime? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 21? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Facundo Acosta Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 18? Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 18? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 18? Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 22? Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +67%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 13? Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $6 +$1 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +85%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? Jun 13 $6 +$2 +33%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 +$4 +43%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 13? Jun 13 $12 +$3 +22%
Will Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino end in a draw? Jun 13 $9 +$4 +40%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $4 +$3 +79%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $3 +$4 +119%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen (BO5) - UKIC Masters Divisi Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 13? Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 51% +$1,086
sports 31% −$156
other 11% +$155
world 3% −$36
tech 3% +$30
crypto 1% +$81
culture 0% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 19m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 50¢ $3 41m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 14? BUY No 73¢ $4 59m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 50¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 68¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 14? BUY No 71¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 14? BUY No 69¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 14? BUY No 70¢ $4 2h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 14? BUY No 72¢ $6 2h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on June 14? BUY No 72¢ $6 3h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 65¢ $2 3h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 59¢ $3 3h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 60¢ $2 4h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 60¢ $2 4h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju BUY No 73¢ $4 4h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14? BUY No 68¢ $4 4h
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14? BUY No 69¢ $6 4h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14? BUY No 68¢ $3 4h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $3 4h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 60¢ $4 5h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14? BUY No 69¢ $2 5h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14? BUY No 69¢ $4 5h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14? BUY No 69¢ $3 5h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 14? BUY No 68¢ $5 5h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $2 5h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 68¢ $15 6h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14? BUY No 68¢ $3 6h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY No 89¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 360 -1.4% -10.8% 72% 64% -12.5%
≤30d 1231 +3.8% -6.1% 69% 64% -6.1%
≤90d 1231 +3.8% -6.1% 69% 64% -6.1%
all 1231 +3.8% -6.1% 69% 64% -6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover110.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.1% 64% -6.1%
10% ← realistic here -15.1% 53% -15.1%
15% -23.3% 35% -23.3%
20% -30.8% 21% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,171.48 · official $2,173.74 (match) · 3500 history records