Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:19:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe5bd…339a
other · 66 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$404 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,344 · open +$1,407
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13,259
Realized−$2,344
Unrealized+$1,407
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses15 / 73
Open positions64
Markets (closed)88 / 66
History coverage8d
Avg bet$764
Trades / day401.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 64 History 88 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13,861
7 days−$459
14 days−$2,344
30 days−$2,344
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 14¢ 48¢ $893 $2,973 +$2,080 (+233%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 26¢ $274 $1,818 +$1,544 (+563%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 22¢ $274 $1,532 +$1,258 (+459%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 20¢ $275 $1,392 +$1,117 (+407%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 12¢ $274 $890 +$616 (+225%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 10¢ $273 $675 +$402 (+147%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 8¢ 9¢ $503 $556 +$53 (+11%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 20¢ $93 $472 +$379 (+407%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 18¢ $93 $446 +$353 (+381%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $273 $383 +$110 (+40%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 16¢ $94 $377 +$284 (+303%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 12¢ $94 $304 +$211 (+225%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 10¢ $94 $256 +$162 (+173%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 8¢ $93 $181 +$88 (+95%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $243 $148 −$94 (-39%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $230 $140 −$89 (-39%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $92 $127 +$35 (+38%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $94 $110 +$16 (+17%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $222 $72 −$150 (-67%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $88 $47 −$41 (-47%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $90 $44 −$46 (-51%)
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $224 $44 −$180 (-80%)
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $92 $35 −$58 (-62%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $520 $31 −$489 (-94%)
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 4¢ 1¢ $88 $26 −$61 (-70%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $241 −$241 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$150 -544719%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$23 +5454%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $202 −$477 -236%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $157 −$239 -152%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $111 −$232 -209%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 12 $275 −$275 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $925 −$1,661 -180%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$676 +1916286%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$7 -898%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $25 −$68 -268%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $264 −$264 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $241 −$241 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $264 −$264 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $141 −$205 -145%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $18 −$38 -216%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $151 −$238 -158%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $128 −$215 -168%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$190 -579691%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $120 −$237 -197%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$7 -898%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $157 −$239 -152%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$690 -53494%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $3,075 −$2,299 -75%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 12 $25 −$223 -874%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$190 -3325584%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $195 −$195 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$179 -1600853%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$7 -898%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$12,469
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 0m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 0m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 0m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 3m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 3m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 4m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 4m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 5m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 5m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 5m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 7m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 7m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 7m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 7m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 7m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)+50.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 +76.2% +59.4% 15% 14% -15.2%
≤30d 88 +66.5% +50.6% 17% 15% -22.2%
≤90d 88 +66.5% +50.6% 17% 15% -22.2%
all 88 +66.5% +50.6% 17% 15% -22.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover401.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +50.6% 15% -22.2%
10% ← realistic here +36.2% 15% -29.7%
15% +23.0% 15% -36.5%
20% +11.0% 15% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13,259.20 · official $15,914.39 · 3500 history records