Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:03:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe5c5…11b9
crypto · 1427 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$87 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$69 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$69
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses763 / 664
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1427 / 1427
History coverage56d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day37.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 1427 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$24
14 days−$45
30 days−$83
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$4 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$74
other 2% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 -6.9% -15.8% 80% 27% -5.9%
≤30d 480 -5.0% -14.1% 73% 32% -8.2%
≤90d 1427 -4.4% -13.5% 53% 39% -8.8%
all 1427 -4.4% -13.5% 53% 39% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 39% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 32% -17.5%
15% -29.3% 31% -25.5%
20% -36.3% 29% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records