Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:07:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe5e1…b577
crypto · 131 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses57 / 74
Open positions0
Markets (closed)131 / 131
History coverage7d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day59.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 131 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$17 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$16 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $33 +$8 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$12 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$9 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$16 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$20 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$10 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$5 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$4 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$8 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$10 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$15 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$11 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$20 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$7 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 09 $12 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 09 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 09 $25 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 09 $7 +$6 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $16 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 131 -10.8% -19.3% 44% 41% -9.1%
≤30d 131 -10.8% -19.3% 44% 41% -9.1%
≤90d 131 -10.8% -19.3% 44% 41% -9.1%
all 131 -10.8% -19.3% 44% 41% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.3% 41% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 34% -17.8%
15% -34.0% 28% -25.8%
20% -40.5% 24% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 461 history records