Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:57:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe5ee…bbe7
other · 89 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$14 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)10%
Wins / losses9 / 80
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)89 / 89
History coverage109d
Avg bet$110
Trades / day2.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit55%
Chart Positions 0 History 89 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Hawks vs. Celtics Hawks 33¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Suns vs. Magic Suns 47¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Heat vs. Cavaliers Heat 34¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 14 $13 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 14 $11 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $19 $0 -0%
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $15 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $166 $0 -0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 30 $79 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? May 25 $113 $0 -0%
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 22 $93 $0 -0%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 22 $84 $0 -0%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 17 $98 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 13 $109 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 13 $203 $0 -0%
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 11 $449 $0 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 11 $99 $0 -0%
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 11 $84 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 11 $97 $0 -0%
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? May 10 $196 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 27 $154 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? Apr 27 $105 $0 -0%
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 26 $82 $0 -0%
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? Apr 26 $90 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 24 $215 $0 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 24 $100 $0 -0%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 22 $106 $0 -0%
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 22 $91 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 21 $96 $0 -0%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $109 $0 +0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? Apr 20 $112 $0 -0%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 19 $99 $0 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 19 $82 $0 -0%
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 19 $80 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me Apr 19 $211 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ap Apr 18 $107 $0 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 17 $114 $0 -0%
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 16 $100 $0 -0%
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 15 $83 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 15 $109 $0 -0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 14 $206 $0 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 13 $96 $0 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 13 $94 $0 -0%
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 12 $85 $0 -0%
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 12 $199 $0 -0%
Will Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 10 $106 $0 -0%
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 08 $112 $0 -0%
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 07 $88 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 07 $120 $0 -0%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 07 $81 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 07 $290 $0 -0%
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 06 $187 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 06 $85 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 52% −$5
politics 32% −$4
sports 7% +$22
economics 4% $0
world 3% $0
crypto 1% $0
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $13 1h
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $13 5h
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $11 10h
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $11 12h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $19 43h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $19 2d
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 100¢ $15 3d
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $15 6d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 6d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 7d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $13 7d
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $13 14d
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $79 15d
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $79 19d
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? SELL No 100¢ $113 20d
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $113 22d
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $93 22d
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $93 23d
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $84 23d
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $84 26d
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $98 28d
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $98 29d
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $109 31d
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $109 32d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $111 32d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $111 32d
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $117 33d
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $117 33d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $99 34d
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $99 34d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 10 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 86 -0.2% -9.7% 8% 3% -9.6%
all 89 +0.3% -9.2% 10% 6% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 6% -9.4%
10% -17.9% 3% -18.1%
15% -25.8% 2% -26.0%
20% -33.1% 2% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 275 history records