Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:48:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe5f5…6aff
crypto · 732 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$28 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses667 / 65
Open positions0
Markets (closed)732 / 732
History coverage6d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day122.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 0 History 732 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$70
7 days+$21
14 days+$21
30 days+$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 98¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 48¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 49¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 97¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 78¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 31¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 54¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 93¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 42¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 40¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 98¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 43¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 54¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 50¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 97¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 43¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 32¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 35¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 98¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 36¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 24¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 37¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 99¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 54¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 95¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$20 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$7 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$5 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$12 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% +$29
other 18% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $7 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $7 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $8 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $8 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 732 +0.4% -9.2% 91% 6% -9.1%
≤30d 732 +0.4% -9.2% 91% 6% -9.1%
≤90d 732 +0.4% -9.2% 91% 6% -9.1%
all 732 +0.4% -9.2% 91% 6% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover122.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 6% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 6% -17.8%
15% -25.8% 5% -25.8%
20% -33.1% 4% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1420 history records