Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T05:38:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
E5 0xe5f6…d0ea crypto 1077 markets active 0h ago coverage 23d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (101 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$101 (-0%) realized −$101 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR9%break-even
Win rate83%896W / 181L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day101.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$101
7 days−$123
14 days−$251
30 days−$301
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$301
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (101 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 408 -3.5% -12.7% 79% 15% -11.3%
≤30d 1077 -3.0% -12.2% 83% 9% -10.5%
≤90d 1077 -3.0% -12.2% 83% 9% -10.5%
all 1077 -3.0% -12.2% 83% 9% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover101.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 9% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 3% -19.1%
15% -28.3% 2% -26.9%
20% -35.3% 2% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
87% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$8 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$101
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses896 / 181
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1077 / 1077
History coverage23d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day101.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1077 Trades
no open positions (56 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $50 −$39 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 18 $54 −$36 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 18 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 18 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$4 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $54 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $54 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $17 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $47 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $99 −$31 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $17 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$8 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $78 +$3 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $49 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3312 history records