Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T00:38:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E5 0xe5fd…842d crypto 1047 markets active 0h ago coverage 4d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$57 (-0%) realized −$87 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate96%1003W / 44L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$16per market
Trades / day506.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$87
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1047 +0.2% -9.3% 96% 0% -10.0%
≤30d 1047 +0.2% -9.3% 96% 0% -10.0%
≤90d 1047 +0.2% -9.3% 96% 0% -10.0%
all 1047 +0.2% -9.3% 96% 0% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover506.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 0% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -18.6%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$13 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses1003 / 44
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1047 / 1047
History coverage4d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day506.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1047 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $6 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3300 history records