trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 62% | 38% | -16.4% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 62% | 38% | -16.4% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 62% | 38% | -16.4% |
| all | 20 | +3.8% | -6.1% | 65% | 25% | -3.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -6.1% | 25% | -3.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -15.1% | 10% | -12.9% |
| 15% | -23.3% | 5% | -21.3% |
| 20% | -30.8% | 5% | -29.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 76¢ | 90¢ | $2,007 | $2,404 | +$397 (+20%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $41 | −$17 | -42% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $2,013 | −$1,209 | -60% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1,906 | +$171 | +9% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1,606 | +$298 | +18% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1,468 | +$141 | +10% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $102 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $403 | +$45 | +11% |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Cabo Verde? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$3 | +28% |
| Rams vs. 49ers | Nov 10 | $6,875 | +$286 | +4% |
| Tulane vs. Memphis | Nov 08 | $6,597 | +$128 | +2% |
| Capitals vs. Penguins | Nov 07 | $5,610 | +$249 | +4% |
| Open de Moselle: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Altmaier | Nov 07 | $4,869 | +$742 | +15% |
| Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2025-11-06? | Nov 06 | $4,498 | +$371 | +8% |
| Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election? | Nov 05 | $5,951 | +$511 | +9% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 05 | $4,997 | +$460 | +9% |
| Trump deportation executive order in first 100 days? | Nov 07 | $1,200 | −$49 | -4% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Nov 07 | $1,200 | −$78 | -6% |
| House control after 2024 election? | Nov 07 | $2,120 | +$1,369 | +65% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Oct 26 | $1,300 | −$31 | -2% |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi | Oct 26 | $24 | $0 | -1% |