Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T01:49:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E6 0xe61c…63be crypto 948 markets active 1h ago coverage 95d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 94d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$2,555 (+2%) realized +$2,555 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate79%837W / 218L
Whale WR95%big bets
Drawdown32%max
Avg bet$170per market
Trades / day26.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$239
7 days+$337
14 days+$853
30 days+$986
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,196
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 161 -68.1% -71.1% 29% 6% -8.1%
≤30d 284 -37.9% -43.8% 57% 9% -7.8%
≤90d 784 -13.7% -21.9% 79% 8% -8.1%
all 1055 -10.2% -18.8% 79% 8% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.8% 8% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.5% 1% -17.1%
15% -33.6% 0% -25.1%
20% -40.1% 0% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
87% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 95% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late -20% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$38 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.25 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

95d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,555
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses837 / 218
Whale WR (big bets)95%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1055 / 948
History coverage95d ⚠
Avg bet$170
Trades / day26.0
Drawdown32%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1055 Trades
no open positions (111 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 19 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $431 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $14 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $37 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $76 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $69 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $16 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $32 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $13 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $8 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $12 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $59 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $566 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $30 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $38 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records