trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | +87.0% | +69.2% | 67% | 67% | +49.0% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +36.1% | +23.2% | 88% | 62% | +35.4% |
| all | 22 | +26.4% | +14.3% | 91% | 45% | +30.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +14.3% | 45% | +30.7% |
| 10% | +3.4% | 27% | +18.1% |
| 15% | -6.6% | 27% | +6.7% |
| 20% | -15.8% | 23% | -3.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5 | Over | 73¢ | 71¢ | $122 | $119 | −$3 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $179 | +$309 | +172% |
| Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou | Jun 09 | $229 | −$225 | -98% |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees | Jun 03 | $144 | +$270 | +188% |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | May 26 | $106 | +$74 | +70% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 21 | $41 | +$68 | +165% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $88 | +$19 | +21% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | May 11 | $12 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | May 11 | $15 | $0 | +3% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | May 11 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | May 11 | $15 | +$2 | +14% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in Febru | May 11 | $17 | +$1 | +3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | May 11 | $23 | $0 | +2% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 11 | $17 | +$10 | +57% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 11 | $49 | +$25 | +50% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | May 11 | $97 | +$18 | +18% |
| BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton | Apr 17 | $37 | −$36 | -99% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 04 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | Feb 04 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? | Feb 04 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Palantir reach $258 in January? | Feb 04 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana reach $210 in January? | Feb 04 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Netanyahu out by 2025? | Jan 08 | $21 | $0 | +0% |