Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:08:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe620…03ac
crypto · 175 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8,432 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,675 · open −$210
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Net worth$122
Realized−$8,675
Unrealized−$210
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses89 / 83
Whale WR (big bets)28%
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions3
Markets (closed)172 / 175
History coverage88d
Avg bet$302
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 3 History 172 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,072
7 days−$2,131
14 days−$2,131
30 days−$9,109
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Over 57¢ 100¢ $68 $120 +$52 (+75%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 Over 67¢ $241 $2 −$239 (-99%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 15¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 46¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Brazil 32¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Yes 64¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Trump out as President by April 30? Yes $593 $0 −$593 (-100%)
Canada leading at halftime? Yes 38¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 64¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 43¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Kash Patel out by April 30? Yes 17¢ $840 $0 −$840 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 43¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $181 +$60 +33%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $199 −$199 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $64 +$36 +57%
Scotland leading at halftime? Jun 14 $13 +$12 +97%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $34 +$21 +60%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 13 $49 −$48 -99%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $46 +$154 +333%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $46 −$45 -98%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 13 $82 −$80 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $58 −$58 -98%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $303 +$42 +14%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $46 +$50 +109%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $175 +$208 +119%
Trump out as President by June 30? Jun 13 $900 −$793 -88%
Trump out as President before 2027? Jun 13 $3,055 −$960 -31%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $229 −$143 -63%
Canada leading at halftime? Jun 12 $54 −$53 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 Jun 12 $15 −$4 -24%
Kash Patel out by December 31? Jun 12 $1,418 −$159 -11%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $71 −$70 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $101 −$100 -99%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $146 +$111 +76%
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? May 28 $3,710 −$3,355 -90%
Kash Patel out by June 30? May 24 $3,357 −$2,107 -63%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? May 21 $2,315 −$1,516 -66%
Trump out as President by April 30? Apr 30 $594 −$593 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? Apr 30 $937 +$3,756 +401%
Kash Patel out by April 30? Apr 29 $1,460 −$1,207 -83%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? Apr 28 $572 +$258 +45%
Netanyahu out by June 30? Apr 25 $400 −$114 -29%
Netanyahu out by April 30? Apr 25 $504 −$468 -93%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? Apr 23 $308 −$234 -76%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? Apr 23 $300 −$263 -88%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? Apr 23 $1,000 −$713 -71%
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? Apr 18 $2,936 −$2,706 -92%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? Apr 12 $1,450 −$842 -58%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Apr 09 $900 +$20 +2%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Apr 09 $150 +$2 +1%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Apr 09 $1,000 −$143 -14%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? Apr 09 $1,000 −$618 -62%
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026? Apr 09 $3,375 −$492 -15%
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? Apr 08 $500 −$218 -44%
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026? Apr 08 $2,368 +$577 +24%
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026? Apr 08 $56 −$6 -11%
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? Apr 07 $600 +$2,212 +369%
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? Apr 07 $1,000 +$2,245 +224%
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Apr 07 $2,163 −$546 -25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 53% +$292
other 21% −$7,125
finance 12% +$905
politics 9% −$2,347
sports 3% −$301
crypto 3% −$309
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 BUY Over 67¢ $243 1h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) SELL Australia 94¢ $241 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 57¢ $69 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 15¢ $23 1h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 70¢ $181 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $100 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 60¢ $103 5h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 63¢ $96 5h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 62¢ $34 5h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 26¢ $27 5h
Scotland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 50¢ $13 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $64 5h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 40¢ $41 5h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 46¢ $46 7h
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? BUY Yes 64¢ $49 8h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $46 8h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Brazil 32¢ $82 8h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $58 10h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 23¢ $37 10h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 23¢ $9 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 94¢ $345 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $52 12h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $251 12h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $96 24h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 43¢ $102 28h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 48¢ $73 28h
Trump out as President by June 30? SELL Yes $107 28h
Trump out as President before 2027? SELL Yes $91 28h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $46 31h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 32¢ $51 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -18.3% -26.1% 36% 36% -35.9%
≤30d 28 -24.2% -31.4% 32% 32% -58.9%
≤90d 172 -11.2% -19.6% 52% 40% -24.0%
all 172 -11.2% -19.6% 52% 40% -24.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.6% 40% -24.0%
10% -27.3% 29% -31.3%
15% -34.4% 20% -37.9%
20% -40.8% 13% -44.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $121.81 · official $121.81 (match) · 744 history records