Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:11:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E6 0xe629…c60c crypto 1402 markets active 5d ago coverage 42d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 41d only
✗ bot/MM pace (67 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$567 (-2%) realized −$567 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate49%710W / 746L
Whale WR80%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day67.3pace
Kalshi-fit79%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$946
7 days−$1,331
14 days−$1,322
30 days−$1,322
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% −$844
other 11% −$314
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (67 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 155 -49.1% -53.9% 29% 29% -64.1%
≤30d 165 -44.9% -50.2% 31% 31% -62.6%
≤90d 1456 -8.5% -17.2% 49% 48% -17.0%
all 1456 -8.5% -17.2% 49% 48% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover67.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 48% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 44% -24.9%
15% -32.4% 39% -32.2%
20% -39.0% 31% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 80% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -11% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$15 · ×0.86 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

42d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$567
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses710 / 746
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1456 / 1402
History coverage42d ⚠
Avg bet$18
Trades / day67.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1456 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $163 −$163 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $28 −$28 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 29, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $170 −$170 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $60 −$60 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $87 −$87 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$52 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records