Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:28:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe62c…d9a6
sports · 166 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$426 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$428 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$40
Realized−$428
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses82 / 92
Est. fees paid−$261
Open positions2
Markets (closed)174 / 166
History coverage31d
Avg bet$76
Trades / day108.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 174 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$91
7 days−$199
14 days−$236
30 days−$425
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 94¢ 100¢ $38 $40 +$2 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy $6 $0 −$6 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 28¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage NRG Academy 53¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs GenOne 25¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Anyones Legend 25¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 BNK FearX Youth $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Phantom 20¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs fnatic 37¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage MOUZ 42¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 BNK FearX Youth 24¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 13¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: CCG Esports vs Conviction (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs CCG Esports 11¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage BetBoom Team 45¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 FlyQuest 27¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs JD Gaming 17¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Aurora Gaming 27¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2 T1 30¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Xtreme Gaming 24¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage Ursa 50¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffs Sashi Esport 28¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage Falcons Force 21¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Shifters vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs Shifters 13¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs INOX Division (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals Playoffs INOX Division 16¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 23¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $4 −$1 -29%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challenge Jun 12 $0 $0 +1000%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $0 −$4 -4503%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Pla Jun 12 $0 −$4 -1500%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $0 $0 +60%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $0 $0 -34%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs Jun 12 $0 −$7 -6136%
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A Jun 12 $1 −$1 -219%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $533 −$7 -1%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $100 −$56 -57%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $305 +$69 +23%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $255 −$77 -30%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $215 +$26 +12%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $76 −$23 -30%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $48 +$5 +10%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $26 +$1 +5%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $93 +$23 +25%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $249 +$33 +13%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $148 +$92 +62%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $116 −$67 -58%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $83 −$48 -58%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $40 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $103 +$41 +40%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $76 +$9 +11%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $124 −$21 -17%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $54 +$6 +11%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $61 −$13 -21%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $182 +$63 +35%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $134 −$22 -16%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $35 −$8 -22%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 11 $47 −$24 -52%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 11 $142 −$52 -37%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $229 −$10 -4%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $73 −$52 -71%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 10 $148 −$7 -5%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $38 −$16 -43%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $55 −$18 -33%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Jun 09 $198 +$63 +32%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $77 +$11 +14%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 −$9 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $78 +$18 +23%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $212 −$30 -14%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 07 $44 −$1 -3%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $245 −$75 -30%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $236 +$25 +10%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $52 −$16 -31%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $517 −$27 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$416
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $197 15m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 99¢ $40 20m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $40 23m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 79¢ $32 24m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 80¢ $32 24m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 91¢ $13 26m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 91¢ $36 26m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 90¢ $12 27m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 81¢ $32 27m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 79¢ $32 27m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 84¢ $10 30m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 84¢ $33 30m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 87¢ $35 30m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 85¢ $34 32m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 17¢ $3 32m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 17¢ $3 32m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 79¢ $32 32m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL GenOne 99¢ $40 34m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 71¢ $29 34m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL GenOne 99¢ $40 34m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL GenOne 93¢ $37 36m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL GenOne 91¢ $36 36m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL GenOne 82¢ $21 36m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL GenOne 82¢ $12 36m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 54¢ $22 36m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 53¢ $6 36m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 53¢ $21 37m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 60¢ $21 38m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 63¢ $3 38m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 62¢ $0 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -11.9% -20.3% 37% 29% -11.1%
≤30d 169 -12.7% -21.0% 47% 28% -10.7%
≤90d 174 -12.7% -21.0% 47% 29% -10.7%
all 174 -12.7% -21.0% 47% 29% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover108.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.0% 29% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.5% 12% -19.2%
15% -35.4% 7% -27.0%
20% -41.8% 5% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.03 · official $40.03 (match) · 3500 history records