Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:11:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe630…3c30
crypto · 16 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$29 +36%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$29 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$3
Realized+$29
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses13 / 2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)15 / 16
Avg bet$5
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days+$29
14 days+$29
30 days+$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$29
other 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+23.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +36.8% +23.8% 87% 67% +24.4%
≤30d 15 +36.8% +23.8% 87% 67% +24.4%
≤90d 15 +36.8% +23.8% 87% 67% +24.4%
all 15 +36.8% +23.8% 87% 67% +24.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +23.8% 67% +24.4%
10% +11.9% 53% +12.5%
15% +1.1% 53% +1.6%
20% -8.8% 40% -8.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.97 · official $2.97 (match) · 40 history records