Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:40:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe630…907f
sports · 11 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$33 -50%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$44 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$44
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)10%
Wins / losses1 / 9
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)10 / 11
History coverage2d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day8.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 1 History 10 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$44
14 days−$44
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 99¢ $10 $21 +$11 (+107%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5 Corners Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $15 −$9 -61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 70% −$33
other 30% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 10h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 20¢ $6 23h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 41¢ $5 23h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 BUY Over 72¢ $5 28h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $15 28h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 51¢ $5 31h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 33¢ $3 31h
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 BUY Over 45¢ $5 36h
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5 Corners BUY Over 55¢ $3 36h
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Over 66¢ $2 36h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 14¢ $3 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-84.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -82.3% -84.0% 10% 10% -79.3%
≤30d 10 -82.3% -84.0% 10% 10% -79.3%
≤90d 10 -82.3% -84.0% 10% 10% -79.3%
all 10 -82.3% -84.0% 10% 10% -79.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -84.0% 10% -79.3%
10% -85.5% 10% -81.2%
15% -86.9% 10% -83.1%
20% -88.2% 0% -84.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.69 · official $20.69 (match) · 21 history records