Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:27:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe63d…e552
crypto · 671 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,125 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,139 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43
Realized−$1,139
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses426 / 244
Est. fees paid−$21
Open positions1
Markets (closed)670 / 671
History coverage73d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day23.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 670 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$53
7 days+$53
14 days+$53
30 days−$126
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 24¢ $30 $43 +$13 (+44%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Sunrisers Hyderabad 54¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians Punjab Kings 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals Sunrisers Hyderabad 54¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans Gujarat Titans 59¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-17? No 91¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Cavaliers Pistons 42¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will FK Dinamo Moskva vs. FK Krasnodar end in a draw? Yes 64¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Cavaliers Pistons 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals Punjab Kings 67¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Malaysia vs China China 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$8 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $86 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$43 +137%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $31 +$4 +12%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 27 $70 −$69 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 26 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 26 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 26 $5 +$1 +13%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 26 $65 +$9 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 24 $6 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 24 $3 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 24 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 24 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 24 $2 $0 -3%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals May 24 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 21 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 21 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 21 $40 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 21 $10 +$5 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET May 21 $35 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 21 $25 +$13 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 21 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 21 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 21 $35 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 21 $48 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 21 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 21 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET May 21 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 21 $10 −$9 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 21 $10 +$2 +18%
Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $109 −$109 -100%
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $100 +$10 +10%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $90 +$10 +11%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $82 +$8 +10%
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $69 +$12 +17%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $63 +$6 +10%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $36 +$28 +76%
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $30 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET May 16 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET May 16 $30 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET May 16 $12 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 16 $16 +$3 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% −$539
sports 10% −$580
other 8% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $15 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $45 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $46 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $38 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $46 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $45 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $43 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $41 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $43 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $41 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $31 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 94¢ $35 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $31 3h
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Sunrisers Hyderabad 54¢ $70 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $4 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $6 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 18d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans SELL Royal Challengers Bengaluru 98¢ $74 18d
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans BUY Royal Challengers Bengaluru 86¢ $65 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 20d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $3 20d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +8.4% -1.9% 80% 50% +5.8%
≤30d 55 -10.9% -19.4% 65% 42% -17.0%
≤90d 670 -10.8% -19.3% 64% 37% -15.3%
all 670 -10.8% -19.3% 64% 37% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.3% 37% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 19% -23.4%
15% -34.1% 11% -30.8%
20% -40.5% 6% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.24 · official $43.24 (match) · 1950 history records