Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:54:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe643…bdd3
crypto · 766 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,517 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,517 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,517
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses403 / 363
Open positions0
Markets (closed)766 / 766
Avg bet$40
Trades / day68.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 766 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$138
7 days+$156
14 days+$69
30 days−$269
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$51 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$18 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $71 +$10 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$28 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$15 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$20 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$18 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $17 +$13 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$15 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $24 +$26 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $41 +$11 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$6 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$23 +221%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $24 +$24 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $22 +$8 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$19 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$18 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$19 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$18 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$26 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$11 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$9 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$12 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$9 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $22 +$16 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $46 +$27 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $52 +$33 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,518
politics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $24 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $41 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $29 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $11 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $17 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 +2.3% -7.4% 56% 55% -3.3%
≤30d 301 -10.6% -19.2% 49% 46% -14.2%
≤90d 766 -6.3% -15.3% 53% 50% -14.0%
all 766 -6.3% -15.3% 53% 50% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover68.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 50% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 47% -22.2%
15% -30.8% 42% -29.8%
20% -37.6% 34% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records