trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $66 | $66 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 62¢ | 81¢ | $25 | $33 | +$8 (+30%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 59¢ | 60¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | FURIA | 59¢ | 63¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+7%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 81¢ | 80¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Team Falcons | 68¢ | 68¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | PARIVISION | 56¢ | 56¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 50¢ | 48¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-5%) |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | 82¢ | 52¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-37%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +42% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $10 | $0 | +5% |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage | Jun 11 | $1 | +$1 | +52% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag | Jun 11 | $3 | −$2 | -74% |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S | Jun 11 | $10 | −$3 | -32% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +32% |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +23% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$3 | +28% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $1 | +$1 | +83% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | Jun 10 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | -33.5% | -39.9% | 47% | 32% | -48.4% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -33.5% | -39.9% | 47% | 32% | -48.4% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -33.5% | -39.9% | 47% | 32% | -48.4% |
| all | 19 | -33.5% | -39.9% | 47% | 32% | -48.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -39.9% | 32% | -48.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -45.6% | 32% | -53.3% |
| 15% | -50.9% | 16% | -57.8% |
| 20% | -55.7% | 11% | -62.0% |