Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T05:49:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E6 0xe64b…eeef crypto 1809 markets active 0h ago coverage 36d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (68 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$2,419 (-19%) realized −$2,419 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate49%866W / 919L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day68.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 36d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$219
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (68 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 562 -37.8% -43.7% 36% 32% -29.8%
≤30d 1336 -12.4% -20.7% 49% 47% -9.7%
≤90d 1785 -9.8% -18.4% 49% 47% -10.1%
all 1785 -9.8% -18.4% 49% 47% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover68.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.4% 47% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -26.2% 45% -18.7%
15% -33.3% 40% -26.5%
20% -39.9% 37% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$6 · ×1.05 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,419
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses866 / 919
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1785 / 1809
History coverage36d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day68.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1785 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 24 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $20 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $20 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $11 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records