Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe64d…c512
crypto · 579 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$24,530 -99%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24,471 · open −$59
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$214
Realized−$24,471
Unrealized−$59
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses340 / 602
Open positions1
Markets (closed)942 / 579
History coverage76d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day39.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 942 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24,894
7 days−$24,738
14 days−$24,461
30 days−$24,396
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 71¢ 100¢ $131 $184 +$53 (+40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 83¢ 100¢ $12 $15 +$2 (+20%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+51%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 12PM ET Down 20¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+400%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $60 $1 −$59 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $178 $0 −$178 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +220%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $178 −$359 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $158 −$319 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$55 -201%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$117 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$38 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$30 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$80 -201%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$24 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$85 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$68 -201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$59 -201%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $84 −$169 -201%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$5 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$30 -201%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$64 -201%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $173 −$348 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $189 −$381 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$30 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$12 -201%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$55 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$8 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$80 -201%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$96 -201%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$10 -201%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$35 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$42 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$41 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$20 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$80 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$32 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$8 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$81 -201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$14 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$45 -202%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$14 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$52 -201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$32 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$48 -202%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$188
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $14 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $14 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $15 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-42.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 499 -71.2% -74.0% 17% 13% -67.6%
≤30d 684 -51.4% -56.1% 27% 24% -50.2%
≤90d 942 -36.5% -42.5% 36% 33% -38.7%
all 942 -36.5% -42.5% 36% 33% -38.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -42.5% 33% -38.7%
10% ← realistic here -48.0% 27% -44.6%
15% -53.0% 19% -49.9%
20% -57.6% 13% -54.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $214.42 · official $213.67 (match) · 3500 history records