Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T15:53:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E6 0xe64e…962c crypto 1372 markets active 1h ago coverage 64d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$14 (-1%) realized −$14 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate87%526W / 78L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day22.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$39
14 days−$58
30 days−$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$82
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 102 -35.4% -41.6% 60% 8% -40.7%
≤90d 604 -7.8% -16.5% 87% 2% -16.4%
all 604 -7.8% -16.5% 87% 2% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover22.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 2% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 0% -24.4%
15% -31.8% 0% -31.7%
20% -38.5% 0% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
96% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.31 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

64d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses526 / 78
Open positions0
Markets (closed)604 / 1372
History coverage64d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day22.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 604 Trades
no open positions (40 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 04 $3 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 28 $3 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET May 28 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET May 28 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 28 $1 −$1 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2119 history records