Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe64f…6cc3
politics · 585 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$277 · open +$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$684
Realized−$277
Unrealized+$14
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses389 / 187
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$30
Open positions9
Markets (closed)576 / 585
History coverage222d
Avg bet$81
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 9 History 576 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$81
7 days−$20
14 days+$181
30 days+$250
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No 89¢ 90¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $100 $100 −$0 (-0%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $100 $100 −$0 (-0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Ebola case in the US by June 30? No 66¢ 84¢ $50 $64 +$14 (+27%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $50 $44 −$6 (-11%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 Under 71¢ 70¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Under 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score No 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? No 80¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 90¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score No 55¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 76¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No 79¢ 0¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $101 +$27 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 14? Jun 14 $20 −$16 -81%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $20 +$4 +20%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $20 −$11 -54%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $20 +$4 +18%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $20 +$4 +21%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $17 $0 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $50 −$10 -20%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $200 +$16 +8%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $20 +$6 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $20 −$2 -11%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Jun 13 $306 +$16 +5%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 +$5 +23%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $20 +$13 +64%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $100 +$9 +9%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $20 +$5 +24%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $253 −$59 -23%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $200 −$14 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $30 −$13 -42%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$6 -58%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $303 −$98 -32%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 −$50 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $20 +$11 +53%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $50 +$9 +17%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $101 −$19 -19%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $20 +$6 +28%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $200 +$8 +4%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $50 +$16 +32%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" at The Villages on Ma Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-20? Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1? Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifi Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16? Jun 11 $221 −$215 -98%
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April? Jun 11 $80 −$80 -100%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $556 −$157 -28%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $100 +$5 +5%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 11 $300 +$79 +26%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $676 +$162 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $50 −$3 -7%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 Jun 11 $101 +$26 +26%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $100 +$6 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 38% +$1,249
other 23% −$440
politics 11% −$206
sports 9% −$66
world 7% −$784
crypto 6% +$190
tech 4% −$94
weather 1% −$4
culture 0% −$111
economics 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 BUY Under 71¢ $20 1h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $103 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $102 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $128 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 78¢ $101 5h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 14? SELL No 17¢ $3 9h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 14? SELL No 14¢ $1 9h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5 SELL Under 100¢ $24 11h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 SELL Under 27¢ $6 12h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 SELL Under 29¢ $4 12h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $24 12h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5 BUY Under 58¢ $20 12h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5 BUY Under 83¢ $20 12h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 80¢ $20 13h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $20 20h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 BUY Under 82¢ $20 20h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $51 21h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $51 21h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $103 21h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $103 21h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 BUY Under 58¢ $10 28h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 86¢ $17 30h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 87¢ $17 30h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL No 72¢ $41 30h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 6¢ $3 31h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 5¢ $3 31h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY No 89¢ $100 31h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 87¢ $50 31h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13? SELL No 75¢ $18 36h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 93¢ $200 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 -15.1% -23.2% 54% 38% -9.7%
≤30d 209 -4.7% -13.8% 66% 43% -8.4%
≤90d 424 -6.8% -15.6% 67% 42% -11.1%
all 576 -3.5% -12.7% 68% 41% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.7% 41% -10.1%
10% -21.0% 19% -18.7%
15% -28.6% 10% -26.5%
20% -35.6% 5% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $683.90 · official $683.90 (match) · 1505 history records