Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:38:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe658…7ae9
sports · 207 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$54 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$63 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$63
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses113 / 84
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions10
Markets (closed)197 / 207
History coverage62d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day5.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 10 History 197 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days+$20
14 days+$45
30 days+$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 50¢ 42¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-16%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 17¢ 26¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+56%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 11¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+44%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 30¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 46¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 8¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B GamerLegion 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Heroic 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Lucknow Super Giants 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will FURIA win PGL Astana 2026? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner paiN 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Vitality 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $1 +$1 +88%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $2 +$1 +50%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $2 +$1 +62%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $2 +$1 +52%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $5 +$3 +60%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4 +$2 +60%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $16 +$9 +54%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $49 +$7 +14%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$2 +109%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$1 +71%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $7 −$2 -28%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 $0 -20%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$1 +48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 +$2 +149%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 $0 +37%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $5 +$4 +70%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$1 +27%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$3 +62%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 −$2 -39%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +68%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 +$1 +68%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $4 +$2 +52%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $4 $0 +7%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $3 +$2 +67%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $4 +$2 +38%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 +$1 +82%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $2 +$1 +67%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $1 +$1 +82%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $1 +$1 +101%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $3 +$2 +57%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $3 +$2 +70%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $2 +$1 +73%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$48
other 4% −$11
crypto 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 81¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 42¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 2h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 66¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 36¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 60¢ $3 8h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 65¢ $2 8h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $2 8h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 61¢ $2 8h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 79¢ $3 25h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 99¢ $6 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 100¢ $5 26h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Legacy 100¢ $25 26h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 64¢ $16 28h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $5 28h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 61¢ $4 28h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 77¢ $4 32h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 47¢ $1 32h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 74¢ $3 32h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $49 2d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 47¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 57¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY Virtus.pro 50¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 31¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $8 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 46¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -0.1% -9.6% 59% 56% +2.0%
≤30d 98 +10.2% -0.3% 66% 64% -6.6%
≤90d 197 -4.7% -13.8% 57% 55% -14.2%
all 197 -4.7% -13.8% 57% 55% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.8% 55% -14.2%
10% -22.0% 51% -22.4%
15% -29.6% 44% -29.9%
20% -36.5% 32% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.00 · official $14.00 (match) · 400 history records