Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:23:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe65f…d11d
crypto · 1750 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$60 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses1365 / 385
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1750 / 1750
History coverage46d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day74.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1750 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$13
14 days−$2
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 77¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 76¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 86¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 77¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 86¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 76¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 80¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 76¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 79¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 88¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 79¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 30? Yes 16¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 75¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 79¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 86¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 80¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 80¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 76¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 75¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 77¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 79¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 80¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 76¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 80¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 78¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$37
weather 3% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 213 -4.9% -14.0% 82% 62% -14.0%
≤30d 1380 -1.0% -10.4% 81% 65% -10.2%
≤90d 1750 -2.4% -11.7% 78% 64% -11.5%
all 1750 -2.4% -11.7% 78% 64% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 64% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 28% -19.9%
15% -27.8% 1% -27.7%
20% -34.9% 0% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3429 history records