Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T16:55:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E6 0xe66a…39ff crypto 3 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$7 (-6%) realized −$7 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate33%1W / 2L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$40per market
Trades / day18.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -2.2% -11.5% 33% 0% -14.5%
≤30d 3 -2.2% -11.5% 33% 0% -14.5%
≤90d 3 -2.2% -11.5% 33% 0% -14.5%
all 3 -2.2% -11.5% 33% 0% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 0% -14.5%
10% -20.0% 0% -22.7%
15% -27.7% 0% -30.1%
20% -34.8% 0% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 100% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
5.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.03 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 3 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 27? Jun 27 $14 $0 -3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 27? Jun 27 $100 −$6 -6%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? Jun 27 $7 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 27? SELL Yes 21¢ $14 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 27? SELL No 23¢ $94 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? SELL No 21¢ $7 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY No 17¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY No 17¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 27? BUY No 23¢ $95 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 27? BUY Yes 22¢ $3 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 27? BUY Yes 22¢ $3 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 27? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 27? BUY No 23¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 27? BUY No 23¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 27? BUY No 23¢ $3 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 27? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 27? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 27? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 27? BUY Yes 18¢ $3 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY No 17¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 27? BUY No 22¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 18 history records