Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:26:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe674…d632
crypto · 171 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$954 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$955 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$237
Realized+$955
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses78 / 87
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions4
Markets (closed)165 / 171
History coverage128d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 4 History 165 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20
7 days+$280
14 days+$712
30 days+$712
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $210 $209 −$1 (-0%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $11 +$0 (+4%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+0%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$12 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 11 $18 +$10 +56%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +43%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals Jun 11 $10 +$11 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +93%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $102 +$116 +114%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? Jun 08 $88 −$52 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +16%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $790 +$203 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 07 $19 −$8 -42%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $65 −$64 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 07 $4 +$5 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 07 $9 +$11 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 07 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$6 +56%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $102 +$77 +76%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? Jun 05 $326 +$659 +202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$15 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 03 $149 −$142 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 03 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 03 $20 −$18 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 03 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 03 $7 +$5 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 03 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 03 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 30 $30 −$28 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET May 30 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 30 $18 +$16 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 30 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 30 $12 +$5 +39%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET May 30 $24 +$19 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET May 30 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET May 30 $1 $0 +3%
Will Le Havre AC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? Apr 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Apr 08 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Apr 08 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13? Apr 08 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Apr 08 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Apr 08 $40 −$40 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% +$683
other 26% +$90
sports 8% +$132
world 1% +$51
finance 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 0¢ $0 8h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 10¢ $1 8h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 11¢ $1 9h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? SELL Yes 31¢ $28 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 26h
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals BUY Yes 48¢ $10 28h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $5 29h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 AND Will M BUY 33¢ $102 29h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND W BUY 7¢ $103 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 44h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 17¢ $1 44h
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $7 3d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $205 3d
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 3d
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 3d
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 3d
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? SELL Yes 10¢ $36 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 4d
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 4d
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07? SELL Yes 100¢ $992 4d
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 79¢ $790 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $11 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $19 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $102 5d
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? BUY Yes 40¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -3.2% -12.4% 52% 52% +10.1%
≤30d 44 +3.5% -6.3% 55% 50% +22.8%
≤90d 67 -28.1% -34.9% 37% 34% -4.1%
all 165 -3.4% -12.6% 47% 42% +2.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.6% 42% +2.6%
10% -21.0% 39% -7.2%
15% -28.6% 36% -16.2%
20% -35.6% 29% -24.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $236.64 · official $436.64 · 407 history records