Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:10:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.5
score
E6 0xe67c…1949 sports 8 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real! high turnover
Total PnL +$9 (+4%) realized +$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -5% what you keep after slip
Net edge-5%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate62%5W / 3L
Drawdown31%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day20.0pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 95% +$39
crypto 3% −$5
other 2% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+3.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +14.2% +3.3% 62% 50% +3.4%
≤30d 8 +14.2% +3.3% 62% 50% +3.4%
≤90d 8 +14.2% +3.3% 62% 50% +3.4%
all 8 +14.2% +3.3% 62% 50% +3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.3% 50% +3.4%
10% -6.6% 25% -6.5%
15% -15.6% 25% -15.5%
20% -23.9% 12% -23.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 47% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +14% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +14% · $-wt +14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$3 · ×2.53 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×4.22 per $1 lost it wins $4.22
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses5 / 3
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day20.0
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 8 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playo Jun 17 $50 +$6 +12%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo Jun 17 $83 +$9 +10%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner Jun 17 $34 +$7 +20%
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $25 +$10 +38%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $3 +$8 +234%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -94%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 17 $3 $0 -1%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $4 −$4 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playo SELL Team Nemesis 99¢ $2 56m
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playo SELL Team Nemesis 91¢ $54 1h
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playo BUY Team Nemesis 81¢ $50 1h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo SELL T1 Academy 99¢ $2 1h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo SELL T1 Academy 99¢ $48 1h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY T1 Academy 82¢ $41 1h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo SELL T1 Academy 68¢ $42 1h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playo BUY T1 Academy 66¢ $41 1h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner SELL Nongshim Esports Academy 92¢ $41 2h
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 76¢ $34 2h
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 99¢ $35 9h
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 71¢ $25 9h
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 12h
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $11 12h
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5 BUY Over 29¢ $3 14h
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 46¢ $3 14h
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 45¢ $3 15h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 15h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 20 history records