Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:21:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E6 0xe67e…d64f crypto 783 markets active 0h ago coverage 8d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 7d only
✗ bot/MM pace (347 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$937 (-1%) realized −$937 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR80%break-even
Win rate91%720W / 68L
Drawdown57%max
Avg bet$99per market
Trades / day347.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$804now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$471
7 days+$786
14 days+$967
30 days+$967
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,007
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (347 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +80%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 690 +1.3% -8.4% 91% 79% -8.5%
≤30d 788 +1.6% -8.1% 91% 80% -8.4%
≤90d 788 +1.6% -8.1% 91% 80% -8.4%
all 788 +1.6% -8.1% 91% 80% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover347.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 80% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 0% -17.2%
15% -24.9% 0% -25.2%
20% -32.3% 0% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 0% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$11 vs −$99 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.14 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$804
Realized−$937
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses720 / 68
Open positions0
Markets (closed)788 / 783
History coverage8d ⚠
Avg bet$99
Trades / day347.3
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 788 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $33 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $99 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$11 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $100 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $100 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $44 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $24 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $15 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $99 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $95 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $54 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $803.56 · official $803.56 (match) · 3500 history records