Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:28:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E6 0xe685…c7df crypto 146 markets active 1h ago coverage 8d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$2 (-0%) realized −$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate88%128W / 18L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day20.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$13
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 -1.9% -11.2% 85% 6% -12.7%
≤30d 146 +0.2% -9.4% 88% 8% -10.6%
≤90d 146 +0.2% -9.4% 88% 8% -10.6%
all 146 +0.2% -9.4% 88% 8% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 8% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 1% -19.2%
15% -26.0% 1% -27.0%
20% -33.2% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
74% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses128 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)146 / 146
History coverage8d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day20.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 146 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 293 history records