trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -67.7% | -70.7% | 10% | 10% | -57.1% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -67.7% | -70.7% | 10% | 10% | -57.1% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -67.7% | -70.7% | 10% | 10% | -57.1% |
| all | 10 | -67.7% | -70.7% | 10% | 10% | -57.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -70.7% | 10% | -57.1% |
| 10% | -73.5% | 10% | -61.2% |
| 15% | -76.1% | 10% | -65.0% |
| 20% | -78.4% | 10% | -68.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $310 | $465 | +$155 (+50%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $182 | $136 | −$46 (-25%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $62 | −$60 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $206 | −$200 | -97% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $237 | −$232 | -98% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $205 | +$224 | +109% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | Jun 14 | $13 | −$4 | -30% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $72 | −$70 | -98% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Jun 13 | $86 | −$48 | -56% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |