Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:01:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe6a1…d6ec
sports · 569 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7,020 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,799 · open −$222
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,799
Unrealized−$222
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses304 / 264
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$1,293
Open positions1
Markets (closed)568 / 569
History coverage77d
Avg bet$184
Trades / day27.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 568 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$108
7 days+$23
14 days−$721
30 days−$1,806
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Spirit 80¢ $222 $0 −$222 (-100%)
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner LOUD 73¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 19¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: T1 Academy vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner BNK FearX Youth 15¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner FURIA 18¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 4 Winner Fluxo W7M 27¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOS 64¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Weibo Gaming $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 Dplus KIA Challengers $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner BNK FearX Youth $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN - Map 1 Winner BC.Game Esports 16¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION Challengers 36¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner Gentle Mates 32¢ $326 $0 −$326 (-100%)
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Season DetonatioN FocusMe 33¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 20¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 23¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 4 Winner KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 68¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Shopify Rebellion 11¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 63¢ $241 $0 −$241 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner Team Falcons 66¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 10¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2? Under 55¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
LoL: T1 Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winner T1 Academy 70¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 18¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B FURIA 60¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $155 +$68 +43%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $106 +$48 +46%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $111 −$1 -1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $82 −$82 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $7 +$2 +26%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $127 −$124 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $167 −$167 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $145 +$105 +72%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $46 −$45 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $188 +$62 +33%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $192 +$57 +30%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $314 +$82 +26%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $389 −$36 -9%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $39 −$39 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $35 −$15 -44%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $25 +$75 +300%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $201 +$25 +12%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $114 −$114 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $61 +$39 +64%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $17 −$17 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $44 +$6 +14%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $149 +$65 +43%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $106 +$71 +67%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $101 −$43 -42%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $14 −$14 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $115 +$65 +56%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $191 +$58 +30%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $105 −$104 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $25 −$25 -98%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $88 +$42 +47%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $57 +$32 +56%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $51 +$74 +145%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $112 −$112 -100%
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $3 +$8 +271%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $76 −$76 -100%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $85 −$85 -100%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $55 +$29 +54%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $44 +$11 +24%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $65 −$65 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $74 +$41 +56%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Jun 07 $29 −$7 -25%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $76 +$33 +43%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $198 +$48 +24%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $137 +$28 +20%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $174 +$26 +15%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $15 −$15 -99%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $123 −$104 -85%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $57 −$2 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$6,648
crypto 1% −$246
other 0% −$126
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 80¢ $223 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 100¢ $223 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 69¢ $155 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 100¢ $155 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 68¢ $106 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 46¢ $107 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 46¢ $111 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 70¢ $82 5h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 27¢ $8 8h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $8 8h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 79¢ $7 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 32¢ $127 28h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $167 29h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 100¢ $250 29h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 58¢ $145 30h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 55¢ $29 31h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $250 32h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 45¢ $16 32h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 75¢ $188 32h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL PARIVISION 100¢ $250 32h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 77¢ $7 32h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 77¢ $123 32h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 77¢ $33 32h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 77¢ $5 32h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 77¢ $7 32h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 77¢ $7 32h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 77¢ $2 32h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 77¢ $8 32h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $396 32h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 67¢ $5 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 +6.7% -3.4% 53% 53% -6.9%
≤30d 279 -4.3% -13.4% 53% 50% -13.5%
≤90d 568 -5.8% -14.8% 54% 50% -14.3%
all 568 -5.8% -14.8% 54% 50% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 50% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 44% -22.5%
15% -30.4% 35% -30.0%
20% -37.2% 26% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.14 · official $0.14 (match) · 2190 history records