Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:29:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe6c3…30fc
other · 44 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses9 / 35
Open positions0
Markets (closed)44 / 44
History coverage317d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 0 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 12 $38 $0 -0%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $1 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 09 $31 −$2 -7%
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Jun 09 $27 $0 +0%
Iran leadership change by December 31? Jun 08 $24 $0 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 06 $9 $0 +0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Jun 06 $37 $0 +0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 05 $40 $0 +0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Jun 05 $37 $0 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 04 $36 $0 +0%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? Aug 13 $2 $0 +8%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Aug 12 $2 $0 +0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series? Aug 06 $5 $0 +0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? Aug 06 $6 $0 -0%
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31? Aug 05 $1 $0 +11%
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? Aug 05 $1 $0 -5%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? Aug 05 $10 $0 -0%
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Aug 05 $7 $0 +0%
Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year? Aug 05 $13 $0 +0%
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion? Aug 05 $41 $0 +0%
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025? Aug 05 $5 $0 +1%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Aug 05 $45 $0 +0%
Will Trump be impeached in 2025? Aug 04 $49 $0 +0%
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in Aug 04 $5 $0 -0%
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League? Aug 04 $48 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? Aug 04 $2 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? Aug 04 $53 $0 +0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? Aug 04 $10 $0 -3%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 04 $51 $0 +0%
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? Aug 04 $5 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 03 $10 $0 +0%
Will Fergus Finlay win the Irish Presidential Election? Aug 03 $66 $0 +0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 02 $6 $0 +0%
Xi Jinping out before October? Aug 02 $56 $0 +0%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025? Aug 02 $6 $0 -0%
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1? Aug 01 $1 −$1 -83%
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election? Aug 01 $6 $0 +0%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Aug 01 $57 $0 +0%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Aug 01 $2 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? Jul 31 $54 $0 +0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jul 31 $6 $0 +0%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jul 31 $58 $0 +0%
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025? Jul 31 $5 $0 +0%
Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest? Jul 31 $59 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 35% $0
world 29% −$2
other 18% −$1
crypto 10% $0
sports 5% $0
economics 2% $0
tech 1% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 43¢ $4 1h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL No 43¢ $34 1h
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY No 43¢ $38 1h
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 2d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 2d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 2d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 2d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 41¢ $2 2d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 41¢ $27 2d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 44¢ $31 2d
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? SELL No 33¢ $27 3d
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? BUY No 33¢ $27 3d
Iran leadership change by December 31? SELL Yes 28¢ $2 3d
Iran leadership change by December 31? SELL Yes 28¢ $22 3d
Iran leadership change by December 31? BUY Yes 28¢ $11 3d
Iran leadership change by December 31? BUY Yes 28¢ $13 3d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 20¢ $9 5d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $8 5d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 5d
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $37 6d
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $37 6d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $40 7d
Iran leadership change by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $40 7d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 51¢ $37 7d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 51¢ $37 7d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 96¢ $3 7d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 96¢ $33 7d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY No 96¢ $36 7d
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 302d
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 302d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -1.0% -10.4% 0% 0% -10.7%
≤30d 10 -0.7% -10.1% 10% 0% -10.2%
≤90d 10 -0.7% -10.1% 10% 0% -10.2%
all 44 -1.8% -11.1% 20% 2% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 2% -9.8%
10% -19.6% 0% -18.4%
15% -27.4% 0% -26.3%
20% -34.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 139 history records