trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +128.7% | +106.9% | 100% | 100% | +106.9% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +128.7% | +106.9% | 100% | 100% | +106.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +6.3% | -3.9% | 78% | 11% | -7.9% |
| all | 9 | +6.3% | -3.9% | 78% | 11% | -7.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -3.9% | 11% | -7.9% |
| 10% | -13.1% | 11% | -16.7% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -21.5% | 11% | -24.8% |
| 20% | -29.2% | 11% | -32.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 98¢ | $20 | $59 | +$39 (+197%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 33¢ | 2¢ | $20 | $1 | −$19 (-95%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Jun 15 | $40 | +$51 | +129% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 26 | $60 | +$3 | +5% |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | Apr 23 | $40 | −$15 | -36% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Apr 23 | $156 | +$9 | +6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 21 | $625 | +$10 | +2% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Apr 21 | $6,302 | +$112 | +2% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Apr 21 | $4,077 | +$18 | +0% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 20 | $6 | −$1 | -17% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Apr 20 | $799 | +$24 | +3% |