trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 9 | +15.2% | +4.2% | 67% | 67% | -8.6% |
| all | 23 | +20.7% | +9.2% | 70% | 70% | +7.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +9.2% | 70% | +7.5% |
| 10% | -1.3% | 57% | -2.8% |
| 15% | -10.8% | 35% | -12.2% |
| 20% | -19.6% | 35% | -20.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | Ilia Topuria | 80¢ | 80¢ | $70 | $70 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner | Mar 21 | $140 | −$18 | -12% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | Mar 21 | $10 | −$8 | -79% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B | Mar 17 | $89 | +$11 | +12% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | Mar 17 | $91 | +$30 | +32% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | Mar 17 | $30 | +$8 | +27% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | Mar 17 | $22 | +$17 | +80% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | Mar 17 | $20 | +$13 | +64% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | Mar 17 | $15 | +$14 | +91% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) | Mar 17 | $78 | −$62 | -80% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Mar 16 | $127 | −$33 | -26% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner | Mar 16 | $16 | +$2 | +14% |
| UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Jan 25 | $198 | +$102 | +51% |
| UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | Nov 16 | $101 | +$70 | +70% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | Nov 12 | $357 | +$69 | +19% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | Nov 09 | $43 | −$1 | -2% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 09 | $400 | −$44 | -11% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner | Nov 09 | $444 | +$125 | +28% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Nov 02 | $73 | +$25 | +34% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner | Nov 02 | $95 | +$49 | +52% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | Nov 02 | $46 | +$14 | +30% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Oct 14 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner | Oct 14 | $110 | +$58 | +53% |
| LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Oct 14 | $50 | +$63 | +127% |