Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:38:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe6f5…c6c6
other · 53 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$52 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$52 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses13 / 39
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)52 / 53
History coverage600d
Avg bet$346
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 1 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 99¢ 99¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $7 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $7 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $68 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? Jun 05 $11 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? Jun 05 $22 $0 +0%
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 29 $20 $0 -0%
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec May 28 $11 $0 -0%
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 26 $10 $0 -0%
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 22 $10 $0 -0%
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks May 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 21 $11 $0 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 20 $10 $0 -0%
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi May 19 $12 $0 -0%
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? May 18 $50 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 18 $51 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 12 $107 $0 -0%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 08 $57 $0 -0%
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? May 07 $61 $0 -0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 30 $62 $0 -0%
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 27 $63 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 21 $125 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 21 $57 $0 -0%
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 20 $58 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $63 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 19 $61 $0 -0%
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs Apr 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 10 $12 −$12 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Magic Apr 10 $11 +$6 +55%
Hornets vs. Celtics Apr 08 $12 +$5 +46%
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies Apr 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Lakers vs. Thunder Apr 06 $13 +$4 +31%
Utah vs. Kraken Apr 06 $18 +$14 +75%
Thunder vs. Celtics Apr 02 $29 −$29 -100%
Canucks vs. Flames Apr 02 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March? Apr 02 $21 $0 +0%
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch? Apr 02 $41 $0 +1%
Golden Knights vs. Jets Mar 25 $22 +$26 +117%
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies Mar 24 $16 +$9 +53%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap Mar 05 $4 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? Mar 05 $78 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? Feb 13 $78 $0 +0%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 02 $13,521 −$14 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 11 $12 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 30 $10 $0 -4%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 10 $29 −$1 -2%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 12 $4 $0 -4%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 10 $271 −$2 -1%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Oct 31 $1,125 −$4 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 74% −$14
politics 19% −$12
other 5% −$27
crypto 1% +$1
sports 1% $0
culture 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $11 1h
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $7 5d
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $7 5d
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $6 6d
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $7 6d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 7d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 7d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $10 14d
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec SELL No 100¢ $11 15d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 15d
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec BUY No 100¢ $11 15d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 16d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 16d
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $11 17d
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $10 17d
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 17d
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $10 20d
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 20d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $11 21d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $11 22d
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks BUY Colorado Rockies 36¢ $2 22d
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks BUY Colorado Rockies 36¢ $2 22d
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks BUY Colorado Rockies 36¢ $2 22d
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? BUY No 100¢ $22 22d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $10 23d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 23d
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi SELL No 99¢ $12 24d
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi BUY No 100¢ $12 24d
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? SELL No 100¢ $50 24d
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? BUY No 100¢ $50 24d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 15 -6.8% -15.6% 13% 0% -11.2%
≤90d 40 -10.6% -19.1% 25% 15% -11.4%
all 52 -8.4% -17.1% 25% 12% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.1% 12% -9.8%
10% -25.0% 12% -18.4%
15% -32.3% 10% -26.3%
20% -38.9% 8% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.15 · official $11.15 (match) · 261 history records