Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:23:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E6 0xe6fc…38d5 crypto 1439 markets active 2d ago coverage 57d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 56d only
✗ bot/MM pace (61 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$386 (-9%) realized −$386 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate38%588W / 941L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day61.3pace
Fees−$38est.
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,202
7 days−$1,205
14 days−$1,193
30 days−$1,207
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 42% −$126
sports 36% +$52
other 21% −$79
world 1% +$12
weather 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (61 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-24.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 260 -67.4% -70.5% 18% 15% -85.9%
≤30d 989 -20.1% -27.7% 39% 34% -49.6%
≤90d 1529 -16.4% -24.3% 38% 34% -31.5%
all 1529 -16.4% -24.3% 38% 34% -31.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover61.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.3% 34% -31.5%
10% ← realistic here -31.6% 30% -38.0%
15% -38.2% 24% -44.0%
20% -44.2% 19% -49.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -28% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -23% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.81 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.51 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

57d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$386
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses588 / 941
Est. fees paid−$38
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1529 / 1439
History coverage57d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day61.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1529 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs India Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Will CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC end in a draw? Jun 18 $9 −$9 -100%
Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? Jun 18 $9 −$9 -100%
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-25? Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Levante UD vs. Getafe CF end in a draw? Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw? Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-03-30? Jun 18 $2 −$2 -110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SC Braga vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw? Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-08? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-03-08? Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma end in a draw? Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa Jun 18 $4 −$78 -1960%
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-31? Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Colombia vs. France end in a draw? Jun 18 $6 −$6 -110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto end in a draw? Jun 18 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistan Jun 18 $2 −$4 -208%
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. Hertha BSC end in a draw? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22? Jun 18 $39 −$39 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-03-28? Jun 18 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? Jun 18 $16 −$16 -100%
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. Holstein Kiel end in a draw? Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14? Jun 18 $23 −$23 -100%
Will FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw? Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21? Jun 18 $5 +$1 +12%
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-07? Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw? Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12? Jun 18 $6 −$7 -108%
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-21? Jun 18 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-20? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Will SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan end in a draw? Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
T20I Series New Zealand vs South Africa, Women: New Zealand vs South A Jun 18 $3 −$8 -241%
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16? Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-14? Jun 18 $6 −$6 -103%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 2d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 2d
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 2d
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? SELL Yes 23¢ $4 2d
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 2d
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 62¢ $23 2d
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 97¢ $28 2d
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 2d
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $5 3d
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $15 3d
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? SELL Yes 94¢ $20 3d
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $24 3d
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $6 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Netherlands 29¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands BUY Netherlands 29¢ $2 3d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 45¢ $1 3d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 48¢ $1 3d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 50¢ $5 3d
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 12¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $3 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records