Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T22:34:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E7 0xe70d…dd35 crypto 1438 markets active 0h ago coverage 46d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 45d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$28,701 (-13%) realized −$28,701 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate86%1234W / 204L
Whale WR94%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$157per market
Trades / day47.3pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$965
sports 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 401 -0.5% -9.9% 87% 19% -10.1%
≤30d 1128 -0.3% -9.8% 88% 22% -9.9%
≤90d 1438 -0.5% -10.0% 86% 22% -9.9%
all 1438 -0.5% -10.0% 86% 22% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover47.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 22% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 10% -18.5%
15% -26.4% 6% -26.4%
20% -33.7% 4% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
73% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 94% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$51 · ×0.15 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

46d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$28,701
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses1234 / 204
Whale WR (big bets)94%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1438 / 1438
History coverage46d ⚠
Avg bet$157
Trades / day47.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1438 Trades
no open positions (167 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $130 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $130 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $121 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $220 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $221 +$9 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $221 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $221 +$9 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $200 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $51 +$18 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $201 +$9 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $201 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $200 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 17 $201 +$9 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $184 +$20 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $181 +$20 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $182 −$180 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $181 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 17 $323 +$45 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 17 $161 +$20 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $301 +$9 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 17 $301 +$12 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 17 $293 +$41 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $281 +$12 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 17 $140 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $281 +$20 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $281 +$8 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $281 +$13 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $132 +$38 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $392 +$26 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $493 +$40 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $378 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $502 −$500 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $752 +$34 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $952 +$35 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $193 −$190 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $181 +$13 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $322 −$154 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $302 +$30 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $71 +$14 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $261 +$19 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $242 +$28 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $212 +$25 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $670 −$660 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $291 −$290 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $291 +$14 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $852 +$28 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $786 +$97 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $52 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $511 +$10 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $130 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $130 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $121 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $55 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $110 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $55 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $110 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $110 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $110 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $111 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $110 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $110 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $51 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $100 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $100 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $100 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $91 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $181 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $91 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $91 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $181 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $162 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records