Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:22:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
E7 0xe71d…2431 crypto 140 markets active 2h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (51 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$236 (+8%) realized +$236 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -11% what you keep after slip
Net edge-11%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate77%105W / 31L
Drawdown14%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day51.5pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% +$193
sports 5% +$33
other 1% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (51 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)+4.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 +15.4% +4.4% 77% 37% -2.7%
≤30d 136 +15.4% +4.4% 77% 37% -2.7%
≤90d 136 +15.4% +4.4% 77% 37% -2.7%
all 136 +15.4% +4.4% 77% 37% -2.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover51.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +4.4% 37% -2.7%
10% ← realistic here -5.6% 18% -12.0%
15% -14.7% 11% -20.5%
20% -23.1% 8% -28.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 27% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +8% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
50% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +15% · $-wt +8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +17% → late +14% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$5 · ×0.7 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.38 per $1 lost it wins $2.38
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$236
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses105 / 31
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)136 / 140
History coverage5d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day51.5
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 136 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $28 $0 +2%
Nottingham 2: Christopher O'Connell vs Jay Clarke Jun 17 $27 +$7 +28%
Poznan: Maks Kasnikowski vs Jan Choinski Jun 17 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $23 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $19 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $18 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $39 −$15 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $11 +$1 +5%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $8 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 17 $5 $0 -9%
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 17 $15 −$1 -7%
Norway to score first vs. Iraq? Jun 17 $30 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $26 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 16 $19 +$8 +44%
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal? Jun 16 $2 −$2 -98%
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 16 $11 −$9 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $8 +$1 +13%
HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Jun 16 $9 +$1 +10%
Asuncion 2: Santiago De La Fuente vs Paulo Dos Santos Jun 16 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $14 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $8 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $16 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $89 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $12 +$2 +14%
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Cabo Verde? Jun 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $90 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $85 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $84 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $19 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $81 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $76 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $66 +$10 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $17 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $18 +$3 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 0.5 AND Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O BUY 31¢ $4 1h
Nottingham 2: Christopher O'Connell vs Jay Clarke SELL Jay Clarke 73¢ $34 3h
Nottingham 2: Christopher O'Connell vs Jay Clarke BUY Jay Clarke 56¢ $27 3h
Poznan: Maks Kasnikowski vs Jan Choinski SELL Jan Choinski 87¢ $27 3h
Poznan: Maks Kasnikowski vs Jan Choinski BUY Jan Choinski 82¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $23 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $24 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $23 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $19 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $20 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $18 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $18 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $12 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $11 7h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? SELL 30¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $19 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $24 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $19 7h
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 30¢ $4 7h
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 34¢ $14 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $9 7h
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 7h
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 35¢ $15 8h
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? BUY 32¢ $8 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $4.20 · 356 history records