Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T13:56:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
E7 0xe722…a812 crypto 715 markets active 2h ago coverage 82d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$191 (+0%) realized +$191 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%711W / 4L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$134per market
Trades / day15.9pace
Kalshi-fit82%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$8
14 days+$34
30 days+$66
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% +$375
other 13% +$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 121 +0.2% -9.3% 99% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 715 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.1%
all 715 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.1%
10% -18.1% 0% -17.8%
15% -26.0% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 53% · top 2 55% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$0 · ×12.39 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2202.16 per $1 lost it wins $2202.16
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

82d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$191
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses711 / 4
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)715 / 715
History coverage82d
Avg bet$134
Trades / day15.9
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit82%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 715 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 7AM ET Jun 27 $432 +$1 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 24 $46 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 23 $34 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 23 $432 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9PM ET Jun 23 $78 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 22 $32 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 22 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 22 $432 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 22 $11 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 22 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 22 $73 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 22 $95 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Jun 22 $414 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 22 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 22 $385 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6AM ET Jun 22 $389 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 22 $353 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1AM ET Jun 22 $295 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 21 $217 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 21 $419 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 21 $2 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 12PM ET Jun 21 $431 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 21 $431 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 21? Jun 21 $430 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 21 $90 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 21 $48 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 21 $169 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 21 $430 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 20 $430 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4PM ET Jun 20 $430 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 20 $430 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down on June 20? Jun 20 $430 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 20 $39 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 20 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 20 $261 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 19 $76 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down on June 19? Jun 19 $240 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 19? Jun 19 $67 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 7AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $432 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $20 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $432 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $26 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $9 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $16 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $62 4d
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 7PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $32 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $303 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $33 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $11 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $46 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $12 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $11 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $44 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $29 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $95 4d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2026 history records