Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:10:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe728…9d87
sports · 758 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$96 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$299 · open −$39
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$171
Realized−$299
Unrealized−$39
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses407 / 346
Est. fees paid−$252
Open positions5
Markets (closed)753 / 758
History coverage135d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day11.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 5 History 753 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$86
7 days−$213
14 days−$409
30 days−$251
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes 36¢ 27¢ $100 $75 −$25 (-25%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Metizport 68¢ 100¢ $30 $44 +$14 (+47%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 59¢ 58¢ $26 $26 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 64¢ 52¢ $28 $23 −$6 (-20%)
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Nexus 50¢ 6¢ $26 $3 −$22 (-87%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D GenOne 61¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Festina Lente 39¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 24¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 56¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 33¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs Eternal Fire Academy 58¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Bebop 64¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $26 −$26 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $14 +$8 +57%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $61 −$25 -42%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo Jun 13 $13 +$15 +114%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 13 $35 +$20 +58%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $29 −$28 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $57 −$25 -44%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $30 +$14 +47%
Dota 2: GG Boom vs Ignite (BO3) - The International North America Ope Jun 13 $10 +$5 +54%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED L Jun 12 $27 −$27 -99%
Dota 2: Mentality Monster vs Ivory (BO3) - The International Southeast Jun 12 $4 +$2 +43%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $26 −$25 -98%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 12 $9 +$8 +90%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $27 −$27 -99%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 12 $35 +$20 +58%
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eur Jun 11 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St Jun 10 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs AaB Bulls (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Sta Jun 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series Jun 10 $29 −$29 -100%
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe P Jun 10 $33 −$33 -100%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Clutchain (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Pl Jun 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $29 +$15 +53%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $26 +$18 +68%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $32 +$47 +146%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Jun 08 $63 −$11 -18%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 08 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs VENOM ESPOR (BO3) - TESFED League Jun 08 $30 −$30 -100%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group Jun 08 $10 +$4 +43%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $29 +$16 +55%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $14 +$8 +57%
Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Playo Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: G-Time vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group A Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 07 $29 −$29 -100%
Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs Clutchain (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe P Jun 07 $28 −$28 -100%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group St Jun 07 $27 −$27 -100%
Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Project 91 (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eu Jun 07 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs ENRAGE (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playof Jun 07 $35 −$35 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $8 +$8 +98%
Dota 2: Rostik999 Club vs VooDooSh Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Pl Jun 06 $5 +$2 +43%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 06 $36 +$20 +55%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 06 $15 +$7 +48%
Counter-Strike: LFO vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs Jun 05 $38 +$8 +20%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $29 +$15 +50%
Dota 2: Rostikfacekid Club vs VooDooSh Club (BO3) - Winline Star Serie Jun 05 $10 +$4 +40%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $10 +$4 +37%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 05 $30 +$14 +46%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challen Jun 05 $15 +$7 +50%
Dota 2: Rostikfacekid Club vs TPaBoMaH Club (BO3) - Winline Star Serie Jun 04 $13 −$5 -36%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Jun 04 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs KOLESIE (BO3) - CCT Europe S Jun 04 $27 +$17 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$718
world 9% +$626
other 4% −$116
tech 1% −$86
crypto 0% −$33
politics 0% −$11
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 64¢ $29 9m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 59¢ $26 14m
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Nexus 50¢ $26 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 68¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 68¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 68¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 68¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 68¢ $18 1h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Festina Lente 39¢ $26 14h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 60¢ $55 16h
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff SELL Wanted Goons 60¢ $6 16h
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff SELL Wanted Goons 60¢ $14 16h
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff SELL Wanted Goons 60¢ $6 16h
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff SELL Wanted Goons 60¢ $14 16h
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff SELL Wanted Goons 60¢ $14 16h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 38¢ $3 16h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 38¢ $13 16h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 38¢ $15 16h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 38¢ $2 16h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 38¢ $2 16h
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff BUY Wanted Goons 38¢ $7 16h
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff BUY Wanted Goons 38¢ $11 16h
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff BUY Wanted Goons 38¢ $11 16h
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff BUY Wanted Goons 38¢ $5 16h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 33¢ $26 17h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 64¢ $29 19h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo BUY UCAM Esports Club 46¢ $13 21h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 63¢ $14 21h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 60¢ $9 26h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 60¢ $10 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -19.2% -26.9% 47% 47% -35.1%
≤30d 247 -4.5% -13.6% 56% 56% -13.0%
≤90d 643 -2.1% -11.4% 54% 53% -13.4%
all 753 -4.0% -13.2% 54% 49% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.2% 49% -10.8%
10% -21.5% 47% -19.4%
15% -29.1% 45% -27.1%
20% -36.0% 29% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $170.96 · official $180.42 · 2181 history records