Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:18:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe732…898f
sports · 290 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$58,309 +31%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$136 · open −$193
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,810
Realized−$136
Unrealized−$193
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses180 / 274
Whale WR (big bets)74%
Est. fees paid−$1,733
Open positions25
Markets (closed)454 / 290
History coverage48d
Avg bet$651
Trades / day69.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 25 History 454 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8,054
7 days−$7,975
14 days−$11,433
30 days−$3,461
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No 88¢ 86¢ $1,053 $1,033 −$20 (-2%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? Yes 69¢ 62¢ $416 $378 −$38 (-9%)
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? Yes 22¢ 28¢ $297 $378 +$80 (+27%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 20¢ 10¢ $549 $267 −$282 (-51%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 92¢ 100¢ $203 $220 +$17 (+8%)
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? No 53¢ 67¢ $163 $205 +$42 (+26%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Yes 53¢ 62¢ $159 $188 +$28 (+18%)
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? Yes 56¢ 57¢ $170 $174 +$3 (+2%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? Yes 61¢ 66¢ $141 $152 +$11 (+8%)
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $97 $117 +$20 (+20%)
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? Yes 12¢ 14¢ $103 $116 +$13 (+13%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 10¢ 12¢ $94 $111 +$17 (+18%)
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 66¢ 64¢ $112 $110 −$2 (-2%)
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 44¢ 62¢ $65 $92 +$27 (+42%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Yes 24¢ 100¢ $16 $65 +$50 (+315%)
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No 65¢ 74¢ $42 $48 +$6 (+15%)
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? Yes 14¢ 28¢ $21 $41 +$20 (+96%)
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 16¢ 6¢ $83 $29 −$55 (-66%)
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026? Yes 47¢ 34¢ $39 $27 −$11 (-29%)
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 13¢ 3¢ $123 $24 −$99 (-81%)
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? Yes 13¢ 9¢ $26 $18 −$8 (-31%)
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $17 $9 −$9 (-50%)
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 44¢ 35¢ $9 $7 −$2 (-22%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-38%)
Betmoar FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes 49¢ 8¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-83%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 36 million views on day 3 Jun 14 $48 +$127 +263%
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait o Jun 14 $4 −$4 -82%
Will MrBeast's video get between 84 and 85 million views on day 6? Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m an Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Ducks vs. Wild Jun 14 $32 −$32 -102%
Will Trump's remarks not air? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 69 million views on day 4? Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $65 −$45 -69%
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 60 million views on day 3 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? Jun 14 $8 +$51 +663%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 4 Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $47 +$192 +408%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage Jun 14 $40 −$90 -227%
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers Jun 14 $16 −$24 -150%
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between Jun 14 $3 −$4 -137%
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? Jun 14 $1,866 +$541 +29%
Will MrBeast's next video get 67 million or more views on day 5? Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 2 Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Will MrBeast's next video get 71 million or more views on day 3? Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026 Jun 14 $5 +$4 +80%
Cavaliers vs. Bucks Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18? Jun 14 $63 −$84 -132%
Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $239 −$272 -114%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 6 Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO1) Jun 14 $174 −$251 -144%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on Ja Jun 14 $45 −$116 -259%
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31? Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait o Jun 14 $7 −$12 -166%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winne Jun 14 $31 −$172 -551%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19? Jun 14 $80 −$80 -100%
Sharks vs. Flames Jun 14 $66 −$66 -100%
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season Jun 14 $96 −$95 -99%
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17 Jun 14 $198 −$225 -114%
Will "Still — Live - Jonathan McReynolds & Jamal Roberts" win Best Gos Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the top US Netflix show this w Jun 14 $85 −$85 -100%
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 134.5 Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Will "XO, Kitty: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026 Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15) Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 38 and 42 million views on day 2 Jun 14 $7 −$5 -72%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31? Jun 14 $33 −$34 -105%
Blackhawks vs. Wild Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% +$1,700
world 16% +$9,297
other 13% +$1,346
crypto 7% −$3,150
tech 2% −$1,473
politics 2% +$1,094
economics 0% −$141
finance 0% +$84
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 92¢ $0 22m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 92¢ $11 22m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 92¢ $1 22m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 92¢ $18 22m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 92¢ $10 22m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 92¢ $18 22m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 92¢ $144 22m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score SELL No 77¢ $765 32m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $124 59m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $10 59m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $134 59m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $1 59m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $30 59m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $13 59m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $1 59m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $10 59m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $268 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $200 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $21 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $17 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $200 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $100 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $2 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $374 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 76¢ $15 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 55¢ $557 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 24¢ $16 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 75¢ $724 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 75¢ $30 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-24.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 230 -50.3% -55.0% 19% 12% -26.4%
≤30d 354 -23.0% -30.4% 34% 18% -10.7%
≤90d 454 -16.4% -24.3% 40% 20% -8.5%
all 454 -16.4% -24.3% 40% 20% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.3% 20% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -31.6% 16% -17.2%
15% -38.2% 12% -25.2%
20% -44.3% 9% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,810.48 · official $3,810.58 (match) · 3500 history records