trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 38% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 37% | 0% | -13.8% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -6.9% | -15.8% | 37% | 0% | -13.8% |
| all | 28 | -4.9% | -14.0% | 50% | 7% | -4.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.0% | 7% | -4.4% |
| 10% | -22.2% | 7% | -13.6% |
| 15% | -29.7% | 4% | -21.9% |
| 20% | -36.6% | 4% | -29.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 21 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 20 | $14 | +$1 | +6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | Jun 20 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $10 | −$1 | -12% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 18 | $29 | −$2 | -6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 03 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 02 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 02 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 31 | $1 | $0 | -12% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 31 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 30 | $16 | +$1 | +6% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 30 | $28 | $0 | -1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 29 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 29 | $23 | −$16 | -70% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 28 | $11 | −$5 | -42% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 2–9? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 China Grand Prix? | Mar 22 | $178 | −$7 | -4% |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 14-21? | Mar 21 | $186 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will "The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent" win Best Action Short Film | Mar 20 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Chicago State vs. Mercyhurst | Mar 20 | $146 | +$39 | +27% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? | Feb 27 | $90 | +$56 | +62% |