Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:24:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe734…4f0c
other · 56 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$147,466 +31%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16,953 · open +$139,375
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$534,216
Realized+$16,953
Unrealized+$139,375
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses7 / 8
Est. fees paid−$639
Open positions43
Markets (closed)15 / 56
Avg bet$8,516
Trades / day254.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 43 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$35,809
7 days+$13,241
14 days+$16,953
30 days+$16,953
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No 64¢ 88¢ $52,033 $72,220 +$20,186 (+39%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes 46¢ 62¢ $50,617 $69,460 +$18,843 (+37%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? Yes 19¢ 46¢ $27,207 $67,574 +$40,367 (+148%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Yes 43¢ 80¢ $30,991 $56,752 +$25,761 (+83%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes 61¢ 95¢ $31,148 $49,069 +$17,921 (+58%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No 66¢ 94¢ $33,738 $48,536 +$14,798 (+44%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No 81¢ 92¢ $41,646 $46,851 +$5,205 (+12%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? Yes 8¢ 18¢ $12,989 $29,670 +$16,681 (+128%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? No 59¢ 80¢ $21,720 $29,135 +$7,415 (+34%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Yes 26¢ 13¢ $40,599 $20,531 −$20,068 (-49%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? Yes 5¢ 8¢ $6,690 $10,299 +$3,609 (+54%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? No 75¢ 90¢ $3,865 $4,656 +$791 (+20%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? No 37¢ 62¢ $2,520 $4,232 +$1,712 (+68%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes 10¢ 3¢ $12,769 $3,717 −$9,051 (-71%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $3,226 $3,400 +$174 (+5%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 51¢ 62¢ $2,046 $2,507 +$461 (+23%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2,450 $2,275 −$175 (-7%)
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 12¢ $1,152 $1,325 +$173 (+15%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? Yes 5¢ 1¢ $5,793 $1,310 −$4,482 (-77%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $800 $1,080 +$280 (+35%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $484 $900 +$416 (+86%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $880 $885 +$5 (+1%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $840 $760 −$80 (-9%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $495 $652 +$158 (+32%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $600 $620 +$20 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Jun 12 $2,176 +$30,155 +1386%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? Jun 12 $14,256 +$201 +1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? Jun 12 $46,598 +$10,458 +22%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $3,584 −$1,882 -52%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 10 $3,122 −$3,122 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 09 $22,865 −$22,865 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? Jun 06 $1,654 +$21 +1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June? Jun 06 $1,891 −$166 -9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June? Jun 05 $5,099 +$442 +9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? Jun 02 $9 −$9 -100%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? Jun 02 $6,286 −$6,286 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 31 $9,461 +$9,539 +101%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) May 30 $1,734 −$1,734 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Camila Osorio May 30 $5,150 +$3,201 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 84% +$183,688
sports 9% −$16,863
other 7% −$10,497
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? SELL Yes 13¢ $262 16m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? SELL Yes 8¢ $351 22m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? BUY No 60¢ $139 24m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? BUY No 63¢ $3 29m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? BUY No 62¢ $593 31m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? SELL Yes 18¢ $2,316 35m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? BUY Yes 8¢ $2,779 43m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? SELL Yes 47¢ $47 46m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? SELL Yes 84¢ $17 46m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? SELL Yes 84¢ $418 46m
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? SELL Yes 47¢ $10 55m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? SELL No 96¢ $199 1h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? SELL No 96¢ $2 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? SELL Yes 7¢ $143 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? SELL Yes 8¢ $1 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? SELL Yes 100¢ $30,813 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? SELL No 86¢ $1,475 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? SELL Yes 2¢ $30 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? SELL Yes 12¢ $170 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? SELL Yes 12¢ $1 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? SELL Yes 12¢ $187 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June? SELL Yes 36¢ $5 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June? SELL Yes 36¢ $2 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June? SELL Yes 36¢ $5 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? SELL Yes 11¢ $10 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? SELL Yes 11¢ $10 2h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? SELL Yes 2¢ $3 2h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? SELL Yes 35¢ $10 2h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? SELL Yes 35¢ $12 2h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? SELL Yes 35¢ $14 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)+46.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +128.7% +106.9% 56% 22% +2.3%
≤30d 15 +61.4% +46.1% 47% 27% +2.8%
≤90d 15 +61.4% +46.1% 47% 27% +2.8%
all 15 +61.4% +46.1% 47% 27% +2.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover254.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +46.1% 27% +2.8%
10% +32.1% 27% -7.1%
15% ← realistic here +19.3% 20% -16.1%
20% +7.6% 20% -24.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $534,216.36 · official $535,883.39 (match) · 3500 history records