Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:29:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe736…9d9f
crypto · 943 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,187 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,098 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$764
Realized−$1,098
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses451 / 486
Whale WR (big bets)82%
Est. fees paid−$223
Open positions6
Markets (closed)937 / 943
History coverage108d
Avg bet$80
Trades / day17.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 6 History 937 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$889
7 days+$2,007
14 days+$1,747
30 days+$1,105
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $300 $298 −$2 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $100 $100 −$0 (-0%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? No 1¢ 1¢ $82 $71 −$11 (-14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will Giravanz Kitakyūshū win on 2026-05-24? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-17? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-19? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres Athletics 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-19? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Kamatamare Sanuki win on 2026-05-24? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$18 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $204 +$70 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $205 +$107 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$16 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$16 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $46 +$9 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$15 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$76 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $67 +$33 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $72 −$37 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$24 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$10 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$13 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$12 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$28 -68%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $52 −$11 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$45 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $92 +$51 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$29 -97%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $319 −$224 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $153 +$62 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $116 −$90 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$30 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $152 +$32 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $154 +$26 +17%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $102 +$27 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $204 +$14 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $128 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$23 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $77 +$29 +38%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $52 +$70 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$75 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$22 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$10 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% +$354
sports 14% −$1,107
other 3% +$119
weather 1% −$208
tech 1% −$242
finance 0% −$38
politics 0% +$28
economics 0% −$11
world 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $31 1h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $308 1h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 8¢ $339 1h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY No 1¢ $31 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $102 1h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $103 1h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $103 1h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $204 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $205 2h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 8¢ $280 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $31 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $36 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $52 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $31 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $27 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 22¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $28 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 135 +2.0% -7.7% 64% 58% +4.9%
≤30d 540 -9.8% -18.4% 45% 39% -4.2%
≤90d 850 -7.1% -15.9% 45% 38% -9.5%
all 937 -5.7% -14.7% 48% 40% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.7% 40% -10.8%
10% -22.8% 33% -19.4%
15% -30.3% 27% -27.2%
20% -37.1% 20% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $764.11 · official $764.11 (match) · 2505 history records