Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:36:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe73c…c722
crypto · 3 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$6 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$39
Realized−$6
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2 / 3
History coverage81d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day0.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Apr 11 $1 +$1 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Mar 25 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 84% −$1
crypto 16% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? BUY Yes 16¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 63d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 63d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $7 81d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-4.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 2 +5.4% -4.6% 50% 50% -76.3%
all 2 +5.4% -4.6% 50% 50% -76.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.6% 50% -76.3%
10% -13.7% 50% -78.6%
15% -22.1% 50% -80.7%
20% -29.7% 50% -82.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38.75 · official $38.75 (match) · 4 history records