Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:24:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E7
0xe741…6d56
crypto · 1212 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$474 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$472 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$472
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses531 / 680
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1211 / 1212
History coverage6d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day375.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 1211 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$437
7 days−$472
14 days−$472
30 days−$472
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 64¢ 86¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 37¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$1 (-61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$8 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $207 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$42 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $208 −$100 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $108 −$104 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $107 −$101 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$13 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$18 +74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$461
sports 0% −$4
other 0% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $9 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $18 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 77¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $20 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $12 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $145 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $104 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1211 -6.1% -15.0% 44% 38% -12.6%
≤30d 1211 -6.1% -15.0% 44% 38% -12.6%
≤90d 1211 -6.1% -15.0% 44% 38% -12.6%
all 1211 -6.1% -15.0% 44% 38% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover375.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 38% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 32% -21.0%
15% -30.6% 26% -28.6%
20% -37.4% 22% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.87 · official $3.06 (match) · 3500 history records